Running Prediction/Performance Models updated 1-25-04

New - Molvar Conversion Tables from John Molvar

High School Pentathlon Tables from Bill Rowan

A New Peformance Model Tim Watt's - more under Cameron's New runpaces - home page- windows version a Nice Plot from RUNPACES: my pr's 5:08 mile 30'14 5 mile and 3:14 marathon
My son's pr's 4:04 1.5k 9:01 3k
Notice World records are in red, your performance line in blue, Performance level in pink, A very nice program

Here are some of the other models. (in the order that I learned about them)

  World record Purdy points.
   There other equations predicting World record performances
   which I will get to eventually.

   etc..... etc.




         A current skirmish .... models predicting other Men's
         World records based Morcelli's recent 1500
  Distance    Portuguese     Hungarian    Cameron's Model  purdy   Cur. WR
  --------    ----------     ---------    ---------------
  100m                                                      9.71
  200m                                                     19.67
  400m                                                     43.75
  800m         1:40.6         1:41.13        1:40.0      1:40.43   1:41.73
  1000m        2:10.4         2:10.62        2:10.2      2:10.44   2:12.18
  1500m        3:27.4         3:27.37        3:27.37     3:27.37   3:27.37
  1 mile       3:44.8         3:43.84        3:44.3      3:44.69   3:44.39
  2000m        4:47.5         4:47.50        4:45.9                4:50.81
  3000m        7:30.9         7:26.56        7:25.1      7:28.43   7:25.11
  2 miles      8:06.8          none          8:01.0      8:04.09
  5000m       13:01.4        13:53.53       12:52.0     12:56.72  12:55.30